Rider Type · Data-Derived
Puncheur
Explosive on short steep efforts, strongest when fresh. Power drops with fatigue.
Over 16 rides and 155 segment results in 2026, Tony Sarathchandra averaged in the top 65% of the field, with a +0 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 16 rides and 155 segment results in 2026, Tony Sarathchandra averaged in the top 65% of the field, with a +0 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 65% avg →
Late (S07+): top 64% avg ·
Swing: +0 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=56 · 274W avg)
Top 65%
0.4–0.8km (n=59 · 236W avg)
Top 64%
>0.8km (n=40 · 206W avg)
Top 69%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=38 · 233W avg)
Top 63%
6–10% mod (n=66 · 237W avg)
Top 66%
10–13% steep (n=39 · 252W avg)
Top 67%
>13% wall (n=11 · 267W avg)
Top 61%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=38)
Top 64%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=36)
Top 69%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/70 | Alexis final kicker | 0.34 km | 13.1% |
| 21/62 | Hillview | 0.61 km | 0.1% |
| 27/66 | Stonebrook to Prospect | 0.47 km | 5.5% |
| 27/62 | Boronda View Sprint | 0.6 km | 4.4% |
| 26/59 | Arboretum Drive | 0.55 km | 8.7% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74/77 | Anacapa - Sir Francis to La Cresta | 0.92 km | 9.1% |
| 94/98 | Golden Oak - Sausal to top | 1.02 km | 6.6% |
| 61/66 | Emeraldhill Lane | 0.12 km | 12.3% |
| 54/60 | Border Hill | 0.53 km | 8.3% |
| 50/56 | St Francis Rd | 0.92 km | 3.7% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Explosive anaerobic power on short steep climbs. Opening-segment aggression (top 65% on S1–S2). Wall-gradient efforts where torque beats sustained output. Don't over-train aerobic base at the expense of peak power — that edge is real.
🎯
Development Area
Aerobic threshold and repeatability — the gap between S1 (top 65%) and S7+ (top 64%) is 0 percentile points. Even closing that to 5 points would be transformative on long-format rides. Target: 2×20 threshold work and back-to-back climbing days to build the aerobic floor.
📊
The Real Enemy
Fatigue, not segment type. Power drops 25% from short to long segments (274W → 206W). The issue is power-at-fatigue (FTP relative to peak power) — on a fresh day the ceiling is genuinely high.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Tony across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🏴
Nemesis
Jim Palmer
1–3 in 4 encounters · 25% wins
⚔️
Rival
Robert Ragno
2–2 in 4 encounters · 50% wins
🎯
Prey
Mike K8o
2–0 in 2 encounters · 100% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Tony record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⚔️ Robert Ragno | 4 | 2–2 | 50% |
| 🏴 Jim Palmer | 4 | 1–3 | 25% |
| 🎯 Mike K8o | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| 🎯 Claude Luu | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| 🎯 Sam Y | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| ⚔️ Derek Knowles | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Sean Rowe | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Sam Lee | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Alexandre Lenart | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |