Rider Type · Data-Derived
Puncheur
Explosive on short steep efforts, strongest when fresh. Power drops with fatigue.
Over 23 rides and 217 segment results in 2026, Thomas U averaged in the top 54% of the field, with a −10 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 23 rides and 217 segment results in 2026, Thomas U averaged in the top 54% of the field, with a −10 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 48% avg →
Late (S07+): top 57% avg ·
Swing: −10 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=78 · 383W avg)
Top 54%
0.4–0.8km (n=84 · 352W avg)
Top 54%
>0.8km (n=55 · 317W avg)
Top 55%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=48 · 350W avg)
Top 53%
6–10% mod (n=89 · 330W avg)
Top 57%
10–13% steep (n=62 · 387W avg)
Top 51%
>13% wall (n=17 · 360W avg)
Top 57%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=55)
Top 52%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=52)
Top 57%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/54 | Christophers Ln | 0.54 km | 4.6% |
| 9/54 | Story Hill Ln | 0.33 km | 10.3% |
| 10/59 | St. Francis to La Cresta | 0.49 km | 6.9% |
| 13/60 | Border Hill | 0.53 km | 8.3% |
| 13/59 | Vineyard/Redwood | 0.64 km | 4.3% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58/60 | Deerfield Drive up | 0.24 km | 9.1% |
| 62/69 | Madonna Way | 0.34 km | 10.1% |
| 62/70 | Alexis_to_Country_Club_KOM | 0.79 km | 7.3% |
| 47/54 | Sarahills Dr. (East) | 0.62 km | 9.6% |
| 52/61 | Deerfield Drive up | 0.24 km | 9.1% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Explosive anaerobic power on short steep climbs. Opening-segment aggression (top 48% on S1–S2). Wall-gradient efforts where torque beats sustained output. Don't over-train aerobic base at the expense of peak power — that edge is real.
🎯
Development Area
Aerobic threshold and repeatability — the gap between S1 (top 48%) and S7+ (top 57%) is 10 percentile points. Even closing that to 5 points would be transformative on long-format rides. Target: 2×20 threshold work and back-to-back climbing days to build the aerobic floor.
📊
The Real Enemy
Fatigue, not segment type. Power drops 17% from short to long segments (383W → 317W). The issue is power-at-fatigue (FTP relative to peak power) — on a fresh day the ceiling is genuinely high.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Thomas across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🏴
Nemesis
Jim Palmer
1–3 in 4 encounters · 25% wins
⚔️
Rival
Claude Luu
1–1 in 2 encounters · 50% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Thomas record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏴 Jim Palmer | 4 | 1–3 | 25% |
| 🏴 Robert Ragno | 3 | 1–2 | 33% |
| ⚔️ Claude Luu | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Alexandre Lenart | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Sebastian Brannstrom | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| 🏴 Otto Jolanki | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |
| 🏴 Gary Auten | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |
| 🏴 Christophe Testi 🇫🇷 🇺🇸 | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |
| 🏴 Rhodes walton | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |
| 🏴 Marek Travnikar | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |