Rider Type · Data-Derived
Pure Climber
Thrives on sustained gradient. The steeper and longer, the better.
Over 11 rides and 90 segment results in 2026, Sebastian Brannstrom averaged in the top 51% of the field, with a +4 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 11 rides and 90 segment results in 2026, Sebastian Brannstrom averaged in the top 51% of the field, with a +4 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 57% avg →
Late (S07+): top 52% avg ·
Swing: +4 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=32 · 374W avg)
Top 51%
0.4–0.8km (n=33 · 317W avg)
Top 54%
>0.8km (n=25 · 288W avg)
Top 47%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=20 · 328W avg)
Top 54%
6–10% mod (n=39 · 323W avg)
Top 53%
10–13% steep (n=24 · 345W avg)
Top 45%
>13% wall (n=7 · 329W avg)
Top 52%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=21)
Top 47%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=24)
Top 46%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/51 | Byrne Park - Deer Springs | 0.56 km | 3.9% |
| 16/64 | Baker Lane | 0.33 km | 11.2% |
| 16/55 | Up Escobar to Westridge | 0.96 km | 4.6% |
| 21/61 | Rhus Ridge Road | 0.77 km | 9.0% |
| 22/64 | DeerCreekClimb | 0.32 km | 10.0% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84/100 | St. Francis to La Cresta | 0.49 km | 6.9% |
| 52/66 | Stonebrook to Prospect | 0.47 km | 5.5% |
| 47/62 | Last climb out of Rancho | 0.33 km | 3.7% |
| 45/60 | St. Francis to La Cresta | 0.49 km | 6.9% |
| 38/52 | Stirrup/Saddle to Moon | 0.59 km | 8.2% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Gradient is your friend — performance holds or improves on steeper pitches. Best on sustained steep climbs. The climbing economy (power-to-weight expression) is the weapon. Protect body weight and VO2max work.
🎯
Development Area
Flat and rolling segments are the weak spot — 9 percentile points behind best-gradient performance. Not about becoming a sprinter, but reducing the gap on terrain where others are pulling away. Cadence work, aero position, and short flat intervals would help neutralize the disadvantage.
📊
The Real Enemy
Flat terrain and short punchy efforts where raw speed matters more than W/kg. Watts on short efforts: 374W — the absolute number may be competitive, but the expression on non-climbing terrain is not translating.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Sebastian across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🏴
Nemesis
James Robinson
1–2 in 3 encounters · 33% wins
⚔️
Rival
Thomas U
1–1 in 2 encounters · 50% wins
🎯
Prey
Patrick Burke
3–0 in 3 encounters · 100% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Sebastian record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Patrick Burke | 3 | 3–0 | 100% |
| 🏴 James Robinson | 3 | 1–2 | 33% |
| ⚔️ Thomas U | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Alex Loo | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Allen I | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Robert Ragno | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |