Rider Type · Data-Derived
Puncheur
Explosive on short steep efforts, strongest when fresh. Power drops with fatigue.
Over 17 rides and 94 segment results in 2026, Scott Wainner averaged in the top 37% of the field, with a −34 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 17 rides and 94 segment results in 2026, Scott Wainner averaged in the top 37% of the field, with a −34 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 23% avg →
Late (S07+): top 57% avg ·
Swing: −34 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=44 · 537W avg)
Top 29%
0.4–0.8km (n=29 · 405W avg)
Top 38%
>0.8km (n=21 · 329W avg)
Top 52%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=18 · 451W avg)
Top 31%
6–10% mod (n=48 · 450W avg)
Top 35%
10–13% steep (n=24 · 441W avg)
Top 45%
>13% wall (n=3 · 481W avg)
Top 27%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=24)
Top 38%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=19)
Top 55%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2/60 | Deerfield Drive up | 0.24 km | 9.1% |
| 5/56 | De Bell (Egan official) | 0.31 km | 7.9% |
| 6/66 | Emeraldhill Lane | 0.12 km | 12.3% |
| 6/62 | Quinnhill from Summerhill | 0.35 km | 7.5% |
| 6/61 | Valley View from Border | 0.31 km | 8.1% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60/60 | fulll Whitham Avenue | 0.43 km | 5.4% |
| 73/75 | Madonna Way | 0.34 km | 10.1% |
| 60/62 | Blandor to end of Olive Tree | 1.06 km | — |
| 58/61 | Olive Tree from Stonebrook - Egan Official | 1.68 km | 7.3% |
| 54/61 | Rhus Ridge Road | 0.77 km | 9.0% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Explosive anaerobic power on short steep climbs. Opening-segment aggression (top 23% on S1–S2). Wall-gradient efforts where torque beats sustained output. Don't over-train aerobic base at the expense of peak power — that edge is real.
🎯
Development Area
Aerobic threshold and repeatability — the gap between S1 (top 23%) and S7+ (top 57%) is 34 percentile points. Even closing that to 17 points would be transformative on long-format rides. Target: 2×20 threshold work and back-to-back climbing days to build the aerobic floor.
📊
The Real Enemy
Fatigue, not segment type. Power drops 39% from short to long segments (537W → 329W). The issue is power-at-fatigue (FTP relative to peak power) — on a fresh day the ceiling is genuinely high.