Rider Type · Data-Derived
All-Rounder
No obvious weakness. Adapts to gradient and distance without big performance swings.
Over 13 rides and 107 segment results in 2026, Sam Moskal averaged in the top 16% of the field, with a +2 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 13 rides and 107 segment results in 2026, Sam Moskal averaged in the top 16% of the field, with a +2 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 18% avg →
Late (S07+): top 16% avg ·
Swing: +2 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=39 · 580W avg)
Top 18%
0.4–0.8km (n=36 · 480W avg)
Top 15%
>0.8km (n=32 · 410W avg)
Top 15%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=21 · 479W avg)
Top 16%
6–10% mod (n=47 · 490W avg)
Top 16%
10–13% steep (n=29 · 517W avg)
Top 17%
>13% wall (n=10 · 512W avg)
Top 16%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=28)
Top 16%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=29)
Top 15%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/74 | Boronda View Sprint | 0.6 km | 4.4% |
| 4/72 | Stonebrook from Priscilla | 0.42 km | 8.0% |
| 4/64 | Toyonita | 0.24 km | 14.1% |
| 5/77 | Anacapa - Sir Francis to La Cresta | 0.92 km | 9.1% |
| 4/62 | Foothills Park Vista Point (Egan Official) | 0.96 km | 7.6% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/37 | Meadowood NB | 0.32 km | 8.5% |
| 21/58 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
| 21/58 | Oakridge Drive inbound | 0.22 km | 5.7% |
| 18/58 | H2N: Voss | 0.37 km | 11.0% |
| 29/104 | Minoca Climb - from Golden Oak to Cervantes | 0.93 km | 7.0% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Remarkable consistency — no single segment type is a weakness. Top 16% late in rides vs top 18% early — you warm into efforts rather than fade. That adaptability is rare: most riders have a clear Achilles heel that good routes can exploit. Best gradient: flat/rolling (<6%) at top 16%.
🎯
Development Area
Sharpening the best segments into consistent top-10 finishes. Currently 69% top-10 rate — the consistency is there, the peak isn't yet. High-intensity work (VO2max, 30/30s) would push best efforts into the front group.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute power, not profile. The data shows manageable fatigue. The consistency is the foundation. The gap to the front isn't about endurance or the wrong segment type — it's about the power number itself. That's the most direct lever.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Sam across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🎯
Prey
Phillip Maier
3–1 in 4 encounters · 75% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Sam record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Phillip Maier | 4 | 3–1 | 75% |
| 🎯 David Remahl | 3 | 3–0 | 100% |
| 🎯 Hannon Ayer | 3 | 2–1 | 67% |
| 🎯 Marc Osswald | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| 🎯 Charlie Stahl | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |