Rider Type · Data-Derived
All-Rounder
No obvious weakness. Adapts to gradient and distance without big performance swings.
Over 16 rides and 158 segment results in 2026, Sam Lee averaged in the top 64% of the field, with a −10 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 16 rides and 158 segment results in 2026, Sam Lee averaged in the top 64% of the field, with a −10 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 56% avg →
Late (S07+): top 66% avg ·
Swing: −10 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=55 · 312W avg)
Top 63%
0.4–0.8km (n=58 · 264W avg)
Top 65%
>0.8km (n=45 · 237W avg)
Top 65%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=40 · 270W avg)
Top 65%
6–10% mod (n=62 · 260W avg)
Top 64%
10–13% steep (n=43 · 295W avg)
Top 63%
>13% wall (n=12 · 269W avg)
Top 65%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=41)
Top 64%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=43)
Top 66%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/61 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
| 30/100 | Taaffe from Dezahara (Egan Official) | 0.43 km | 8.9% |
| 19/59 | O'Keefe summitage | 0.41 km | 6.6% |
| 20/62 | Outlook Drive south | 0.35 km | 6.0% |
| 19/58 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58/66 | Emeraldhill Lane | 0.12 km | 12.3% |
| 50/57 | Border Hill (official to summit) | 0.38 km | 11.5% |
| 52/61 | Deerfield Drive up | 0.24 km | 9.1% |
| 60/71 | La Barranca Rd last steep part | 0.17 km | 14.2% |
| 52/62 | Hanover St | 0.48 km | 4.8% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Remarkable consistency — no single segment type is a weakness. Consistent across all segment types with less than 5 percentile points separating any category. That adaptability is rare: most riders have a clear Achilles heel that good routes can exploit. Best gradient: steep (10–13%) at top 63%.
🎯
Development Area
Sharpening the best segments into consistent top-10 finishes. Currently 1% top-10 rate — the consistency is there, the peak isn't yet. High-intensity work (VO2max, 30/30s) would push best efforts into the front group.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute power, not profile. The data shows manageable fatigue. The consistency is the foundation. The gap to the front isn't about endurance or the wrong segment type — it's about the power number itself. That's the most direct lever.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Sam across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🏴
Nemesis
Karl Frerichs
0–2 in 2 encounters · 0% wins
⚔️
Rival
Tony Sarathchandra
1–1 in 2 encounters · 50% wins
🎯
Prey
matt stirrup
2–0 in 2 encounters · 100% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Sam record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 matt stirrup | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| ⚔️ Tony Sarathchandra | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Robert Ragno | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| 🏴 Karl Frerichs | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |