Rider Type · Data-Derived
Diesel / Rouleur
Consistent across the ride. Aerobic engine that keeps firing late in the day.
Over 10 rides and 93 segment results in 2026, road runner averaged in the top 51% of the field, with a +18 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 10 rides and 93 segment results in 2026, road runner averaged in the top 51% of the field, with a +18 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 63% avg →
Late (S07+): top 45% avg ·
Swing: +18 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=36)
Top 56%
0.4–0.8km (n=35)
Top 50%
>0.8km (n=22)
Top 46%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=27)
Top 50%
6–10% mod (n=40)
Top 52%
10–13% steep (n=19)
Top 51%
>13% wall (n=7)
Top 57%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=20)
Top 58%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=21)
Top 45%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/62 | Hillview | 0.61 km | 0.1% |
| 12/56 | Morro Vista | 0.25 km | 8.1% |
| 15/59 | West Loyola, Eastbrook to Rolly | 1.04 km | 7.5% |
| 16/59 | Vineyard/Redwood | 0.64 km | 4.3% |
| 16/59 | Mora: Trail of Tribulation | 0.69 km | 10.4% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64/64 | Toyonita | 0.24 km | 14.1% |
| 48/55 | Aric Lane | 0.23 km | 3.8% |
| 53/62 | Alta Tierra | 0.27 km | 10.0% |
| 50/61 | Deerfield Drive up | 0.24 km | 9.1% |
| 53/66 | Emeraldhill Lane | 0.12 km | 12.3% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Exceptional repeatability — the engine keeps firing deep into the ride. Late-ride performance (top 45%) is actually stronger to the opening. Thrives on rides with high segment counts where rivals are already fading. The aerobic base is the asset — protect it.
🎯
Development Area
Peak power and short-burst acceleration. The punch/threshold gap (top 58% vs top 45%) shows where the ceiling is on explosive efforts. Sprint intervals and over-under VO2max work would add a new gear without eroding the aerobic base. The diesel engine is built — adding a turbo is the next step.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute peak power output, not endurance. The engine runs clean all day but the rev ceiling is the constraint. The rival who fades less than everyone else still loses to a rider who never needed to fade.
Season Bookends — Egan 1 vs Egan 28
−5.2%
← fasterslower →
| Segment | Egan 1 Mar 10 | Egan 28 Sep 15 | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S01La Paloma from Westwind | 1:52 | = | 1:52 | = |
| S02La Barranca Rd | 54s | −9.3% | 59s | ▼ 5s |
| S03Taaffe from Dezahara (Egan Official) | 1:42 | −5.9% | 1:48 | ▼ 6s |
| S04Stonebrook from Priscilla | 1:28 | −5.7% | 1:33 | ▼ 5s |
| S05Dirk's super short hill sprint | 23s | −4.3% | 24s | ▼ 1s |
| S06Quinnhill from Summerhill | 57s | −7.0% | 1:01 | ▼ 4s |
| S07Madonna Way | 1:27 | −6.9% | 1:33 | ▼ 6s |
| GCTotal time | 8:43 | 9:10 | ▼ 27s |
Egan 28 was 27s slower than Egan 1 (5.2% off the opening pace).
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of road across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🏴
Nemesis
Alex Loo
0–2 in 2 encounters · 0% wins
⚔️
Rival
Steven Froelich
1–1 in 2 encounters · 50% wins
| Rider | Encounters | road record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⚔️ Steven Froelich | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Matt Bierbaum | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Brennan Pang | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| 🏴 Alex Loo | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |
| 🏴 Sean Rowe | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |
| 🏴 Andrew Y | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |