Rider Type · Data-Derived
Diesel / Rouleur
Consistent across the ride. Aerobic engine that keeps firing late in the day.
Over 11 rides and 96 segment results in 2026, R S averaged in the top 88% of the field, with a −2 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 11 rides and 96 segment results in 2026, R S averaged in the top 88% of the field, with a −2 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 88% avg →
Late (S07+): top 90% avg ·
Swing: −2 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=34 · 247W avg)
Top 88%
0.4–0.8km (n=37 · 207W avg)
Top 88%
>0.8km (n=25 · 187W avg)
Top 89%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=20 · 208W avg)
Top 88%
6–10% mod (n=47 · 214W avg)
Top 87%
10–13% steep (n=25 · 225W avg)
Top 90%
>13% wall (n=4 · 238W avg)
Top 91%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=18)
Top 92%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=26)
Top 89%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64/90 | Prospect hill repeat | 0.59 km | 5.8% |
| 52/72 | Dirk's super short hill sprint | 0.18 km | 5.2% |
| 42/58 | Duval Way outbound | 0.33 km | 4.4% |
| 73/100 | Taaffe from Dezahara (Egan Official) | 0.43 km | 8.9% |
| 56/75 | Dirk's super short hill sprint | 0.18 km | 5.2% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59/59 | Vineyard/Redwood | 0.64 km | 4.3% |
| 51/51 | Comer (Egan Official) Bridge to Stop Sign | 0.69 km | 9.5% |
| 52/52 | Vist Arrroyo Wall Two | 0.25 km | 10.5% |
| 58/58 | Elena Sprint | 0.56 km | 4.8% |
| 62/63 | fulll Whitham Avenue | 0.43 km | 5.4% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Exceptional repeatability — the engine keeps firing deep into the ride. Late-ride performance (top 90%) is actually close to the opening. Thrives on rides with high segment counts where rivals are already fading. The aerobic base is the asset — protect it.
🎯
Development Area
Peak power and short-burst acceleration. The punch/threshold gap (top 92% vs top 89%) shows where the ceiling is on explosive efforts. Sprint intervals and over-under VO2max work would add a new gear without eroding the aerobic base. The diesel engine is built — adding a turbo is the next step.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute peak power output, not endurance. The engine runs clean all day but the rev ceiling is the constraint. Watts from early to late: 253W → 202W (-20%) — barely any drop, which is the signature. The rival who fades less than everyone else still loses to a rider who never needed to fade.
Season Bookends — Egan 1 vs Egan 28
−1.5%
← fasterslower →
| Segment | Egan 1 Mar 10 | Egan 28 Sep 15 | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S01La Paloma from Westwind | 2:03 | −0.8% | 2:04 | ▼ 1s |
| S02La Barranca Rd | 1:08 | +2.9% | 1:06 | ▲ 2s |
| S03Taaffe from Dezahara (Egan Official) | 2:10 | −3.8% | 2:15 | ▼ 5s |
| S04Stonebrook from Priscilla | 2:01 | +5.0% | 1:55 | ▲ 6s |
| S05Dirk's super short hill sprint | 27s | +7.4% | 25s | ▲ 2s |
| S06Quinnhill from Summerhill | 1:12 | = | 1:12 | = |
| S07Madonna Way | 2:00 | −11.7% | 2:14 | ▼ 14s |
| GCTotal time | 11:01 | 11:11 | ▼ 10s |
Egan 28 was 10s slower than Egan 1 (1.5% off the opening pace).
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of R across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
⚔️
Rival
Peter Schwartz
1–1 in 2 encounters · 50% wins
🎯
Prey
Jean-Michel Thiers
2–1 in 3 encounters · 67% wins
| Rider | Encounters | R record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Jean-Michel Thiers | 3 | 2–1 | 67% |
| ⚔️ Peter Schwartz | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |