Rider Type · Data-Derived
Diesel / Rouleur
Consistent across the ride. Aerobic engine that keeps firing late in the day.
Over 13 rides and 103 segment results in 2026, Hoss Hayati averaged in the top 25% of the field, with a +12 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 13 rides and 103 segment results in 2026, Hoss Hayati averaged in the top 25% of the field, with a +12 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 33% avg →
Late (S07+): top 21% avg ·
Swing: +12 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=37 · 467W avg)
Top 32%
0.4–0.8km (n=43 · 442W avg)
Top 21%
>0.8km (n=23 · 394W avg)
Top 20%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=24 · 460W avg)
Top 17%
6–10% mod (n=41 · 417W avg)
Top 23%
10–13% steep (n=31 · 451W avg)
Top 33%
>13% wall (n=6 · 444W avg)
Top 34%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=27)
Top 34%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=21)
Top 23%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/62 | Deer Creek Sprint (Egan Official) | 0.5 km | 4.7% |
| 3/62 | La Cresta - full length | 1.64 km | 5.0% |
| 3/62 | Altamont Road, speed sign to crest | 1.62 km | 7.0% |
| 6/100 | Taaffe from Dezahara (Egan Official) | 0.43 km | 8.9% |
| 4/66 | Magdalena - Dawson to Stonebrook | 1.08 km | 5.0% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105/105 | Liddicoat + Stanford | 0.4 km | 10.0% |
| 59/60 | Viscaino West Side | 0.37 km | 12.5% |
| 56/59 | Valley View from Border | 0.31 km | 8.1% |
| 98/104 | Portola Valley LKHC #3 Hillbrook | 0.49 km | 10.1% |
| 66/71 | Horseshoe Ct | 0.23 km | 15.1% |
What the Data Suggests
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Strengths to Protect
Exceptional repeatability — the engine keeps firing deep into the ride. Late-ride performance (top 21%) is actually stronger to the opening. Thrives on rides with high segment counts where rivals are already fading. The aerobic base is the asset — protect it.
🎯
Development Area
Peak power and short-burst acceleration. The punch/threshold gap (top 34% vs top 23%) shows where the ceiling is on explosive efforts. Sprint intervals and over-under VO2max work would add a new gear without eroding the aerobic base. The diesel engine is built — adding a turbo is the next step.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute peak power output, not endurance. The engine runs clean all day but the rev ceiling is the constraint. Watts from early to late: 477W → 418W (-12%) — barely any drop, which is the signature. The rival who fades less than everyone else still loses to a rider who never needed to fade. One note: Ride 08 looks like a major outlier — averaging top 70% vs your season norm of top 25%. A single bad day (mechanical, illness, off route) is pulling down the headline numbers.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Hoss across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🎯
Prey
Adam Beliveau
2–1 in 3 encounters · 67% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Hoss record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Adam Beliveau | 3 | 2–1 | 67% |