Rider Type · Data-Derived
Sprinter
High-end power on flat or rolling terrain. Speed over gradient.
Over 15 rides and 143 segment results in 2026, Clay Wilderman averaged in the top 51% of the field, with a −8 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 15 rides and 143 segment results in 2026, Clay Wilderman averaged in the top 51% of the field, with a −8 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 50% avg →
Late (S07+): top 58% avg ·
Swing: −8 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=49 · 427W avg)
Top 54%
0.4–0.8km (n=54 · 386W avg)
Top 47%
>0.8km (n=40 · 334W avg)
Top 52%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=28 · 381W avg)
Top 46%
6–10% mod (n=63 · 377W avg)
Top 53%
10–13% steep (n=41 · 407W avg)
Top 49%
>13% wall (n=10 · 360W avg)
Top 58%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=36)
Top 52%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=38)
Top 53%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/52 | Comer Climbs (Third) | 0.32 km | 10.3% |
| 10/58 | Willowbrook | 1.29 km | 2.1% |
| 10/58 | Elena Sprint | 0.56 km | 4.8% |
| 12/62 | Deer Creek Sprint (Egan Official) | 0.5 km | 4.7% |
| 12/60 | Loyola with Berkshire sidetrip | 1.29 km | 5.5% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62/62 | Tanglewood Lane | 0.21 km | 15.8% |
| 62/62 | Boronda View Sprint | 0.6 km | 4.4% |
| 61/62 | E Byrne Park & Deer Springs Way | 0.44 km | 6.7% |
| 57/59 | La Cresta | 1.32 km | 6.4% |
| 50/55 | Mora: Trail of Tribulation | 0.69 km | 10.4% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
High-end speed on flat and rolling terrain. Short explosive efforts when the gradient stays low — that's the ceiling. Top 50% when fresh on opening segments. Fast-twitch recruitment is the edge — don't grind it away with long endurance blocks.
🎯
Development Area
Sustained climbing — the 3-point gap between flat (top 46%) and steep (top 49%) performance is the main story. Threshold climbing work (sweet-spot on 6–10% gradients) would open up more of the Egan route catalog. Target rides with longer sustained pitches to build climbing-specific endurance.
📊
The Real Enemy
Gradient. Once the road tips up beyond 8%, the advantage erodes fast. Watts short vs long: 427W → 334W shows the pattern. Egan routes are climb-heavy, so working on climbing-specific power is the highest-leverage investment.