Rider Type · Data-Derived
Sprinter
High-end power on flat or rolling terrain. Speed over gradient.
Over 12 rides and 116 segment results in 2026, Andrew Y averaged in the top 48% of the field, with a −5 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 12 rides and 116 segment results in 2026, Andrew Y averaged in the top 48% of the field, with a −5 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 46% avg →
Late (S07+): top 51% avg ·
Swing: −5 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=45 · 454W avg)
Top 48%
0.4–0.8km (n=44 · 432W avg)
Top 46%
>0.8km (n=27 · 349W avg)
Top 50%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=24 · 451W avg)
Top 44%
6–10% mod (n=51 · 389W avg)
Top 48%
10–13% steep (n=32 · 422W avg)
Top 49%
>13% wall (n=9 · 405W avg)
Top 49%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=35)
Top 48%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=30)
Top 48%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/62 | Stonebrook to Prospect | 0.47 km | 5.5% |
| 11/62 | Outlook Drive south | 0.35 km | 6.0% |
| 12/66 | Emeraldhill Lane | 0.12 km | 12.3% |
| 14/65 | Stonebrook to Prospect | 0.47 km | 5.5% |
| 14/62 | Border Hill | 0.53 km | 8.3% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52/60 | Border Hill | 0.53 km | 8.3% |
| 51/59 | Deodara, Vineyard to the end | 0.36 km | 5.4% |
| 61/76 | Alta Tierra | 0.27 km | 10.0% |
| 46/59 | Mora Glen Drive climb maximus | 0.41 km | 9.0% |
| 48/62 | Ravensbury, back wall | 0.26 km | 14.0% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
High-end speed on flat and rolling terrain. Short explosive efforts when the gradient stays low — that's the ceiling. Top 46% when fresh on opening segments. Fast-twitch recruitment is the edge — don't grind it away with long endurance blocks.
🎯
Development Area
Sustained climbing — the 4-point gap between flat (top 44%) and steep (top 49%) performance is the main story. Threshold climbing work (sweet-spot on 6–10% gradients) would open up more of the Egan route catalog. Target rides with longer sustained pitches to build climbing-specific endurance.
📊
The Real Enemy
Gradient. Once the road tips up beyond 8%, the advantage erodes fast. Watts short vs long: 454W → 349W shows the pattern. Egan routes are climb-heavy, so working on climbing-specific power is the highest-leverage investment.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Andrew across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🏴
Nemesis
Dane Holte
0–2 in 2 encounters · 0% wins
⚔️
Rival
Jerome S
1–1 in 2 encounters · 50% wins
🎯
Prey
Alex Loo
3–1 in 4 encounters · 75% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Andrew record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Alex Loo | 4 | 3–1 | 75% |
| 🎯 Maurice Hauss | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| 🎯 Whitman Kwok | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| 🎯 Rhodes walton | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| ⚔️ Jerome S | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Matt Bierbaum | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| 🏴 Dane Holte | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |