Rider Type · Data-Derived
Diesel / Rouleur
Consistent across the ride. Aerobic engine that keeps firing late in the day.
Over 26 rides and 245 segment results in 2026, Allen I averaged in the top 47% of the field, with a +21 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 26 rides and 245 segment results in 2026, Allen I averaged in the top 47% of the field, with a +21 percentile points (improves!) from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 62% avg →
Late (S07+): top 41% avg ·
Swing: +21 percentile points (improves!)
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=91 · 345W avg)
Top 51%
0.4–0.8km (n=91 · 309W avg)
Top 46%
>0.8km (n=63 · 271W avg)
Top 44%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=56 · 310W avg)
Top 48%
6–10% mod (n=104 · 317W avg)
Top 45%
10–13% steep (n=65 · 295W avg)
Top 52%
>13% wall (n=19 · 317W avg)
Top 44%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=60)
Top 53%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=60)
Top 41%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/58 | La Paloma from Westwind | 0.55 km | 6.9% |
| 4/54 | Matadero Creek Ln Climb from Bottom | 0.26 km | 10.3% |
| 6/71 | Quinnhill from Summerhill | 0.35 km | 7.5% |
| 6/59 | Highlands Circle (east) | 0.33 km | 10.6% |
| 8/69 | Stirrup/Saddle to Moon | 0.59 km | 8.2% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57/57 | Liddicoat + Stanford | 0.4 km | 10.0% |
| 61/61 | Quinhill from University (Egan Official) | 0.31 km | 12.0% |
| 58/60 | Viscaino West Side | 0.37 km | 12.5% |
| 61/64 | Half Esperanza -- counterclockwise | 0.37 km | 3.4% |
| 53/56 | St Francis Rd | 0.92 km | 3.7% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Exceptional repeatability — the engine keeps firing deep into the ride. Late-ride performance (top 41%) is actually stronger to the opening. Thrives on rides with high segment counts where rivals are already fading. The aerobic base is the asset — protect it.
🎯
Development Area
Peak power and short-burst acceleration. The punch/threshold gap (top 53% vs top 41%) shows where the ceiling is on explosive efforts. Sprint intervals and over-under VO2max work would add a new gear without eroding the aerobic base. The diesel engine is built — adding a turbo is the next step.
📊
The Real Enemy
Absolute peak power output, not endurance. The engine runs clean all day but the rev ceiling is the constraint. Watts from early to late: 316W → 303W (-4%) — barely any drop, which is the signature. The rival who fades less than everyone else still loses to a rider who never needed to fade.
Season Bookends — Egan 1 vs Egan 28
+5.3%
← fasterslower →
| Segment | Egan 1 Mar 10 | Egan 28 Sep 15 | Δ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S01La Paloma from Westwind | 1:45 | +9.5% | 1:35 | ▲ 10s |
| S02La Barranca Rd | 43s | −2.3% | 44s | ▼ 1s |
| S03Taaffe from Dezahara (Egan Official) | 1:29 | −3.4% | 1:32 | ▼ 3s |
| S04Stonebrook from Priscilla | 1:27 | +17.2% | 1:12 | ▲ 15s |
| S05Dirk's super short hill sprint | 26s | +15.4% | 22s | ▲ 4s |
| S06Quinnhill from Summerhill | 45s | −11.1% | 50s | ▼ 5s |
| S07Madonna Way | 1:34 | +6.4% | 1:28 | ▲ 6s |
| GCTotal time | 8:09 | 7:43 | ▲ 26s |
Finished the season 26s faster — a 5.3% improvement from Egan 1 to Egan 28.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Allen across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🏴
Nemesis
Jerome S
0–3 in 3 encounters · 0% wins
⚔️
Rival
James Robinson
1–1 in 2 encounters · 50% wins
🎯
Prey
Dane Holte
3–1 in 4 encounters · 75% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Allen record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Dane Holte | 4 | 3–1 | 75% |
| 🎯 Alex Loo | 3 | 2–1 | 67% |
| 🎯 Rhodes walton | 3 | 2–1 | 67% |
| 🎯 Brian Tam | 3 | 2–1 | 67% |
| 🏴 Jerome S | 3 | 0–3 | 0% |
| 🏴 Martin W | 3 | 0–3 | 0% |
| 🏴 Patrick Burke | 3 | 0–3 | 0% |
| 🎯 Jacob Donenfeld | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| ⚔️ James Robinson | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Whitman Kwok | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Matt Bierbaum | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Kenny Ke | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Reuben Nahouraii | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Sebastian Brannstrom | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| 🏴 Ghislain Gackiere | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |