Rider Type · Data-Derived
Puncheur
Explosive on short steep efforts, strongest when fresh. Power drops with fatigue.
Over 20 rides and 192 segment results in 2026, Alex Loo averaged in the top 45% of the field, with a −12 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Over 20 rides and 192 segment results in 2026, Alex Loo averaged in the top 45% of the field, with a −12 percentile points from the opening segments to the late-ride segments.
Fatigue Pattern — Field Percentile by Segment Position
Average field percentile per segment slot (lower = better; bar height = how far back)
Opening (S01–S02): top 37% avg →
Late (S07+): top 49% avg ·
Swing: −12 percentile points
Performance by Segment Type
By Distance
<0.4km (n=67 · 391W avg)
Top 41%
0.4–0.8km (n=70 · 331W avg)
Top 41%
>0.8km (n=55 · 271W avg)
Top 53%
By Gradient
<6% flat (n=39 · 338W avg)
Top 42%
6–10% mod (n=82 · 323W avg)
Top 45%
10–13% steep (n=54 · 344W avg)
Top 45%
>13% wall (n=16 · 345W avg)
Top 45%
Effort Profile
Punchy <0.45km ≥9% (n=47)
Top 43%
Threshold ≥0.7km ≥5% (n=54)
Top 54%
Peak Performances — Best 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/62 | Tanglewood Lane | 0.21 km | 15.8% |
| 8/72 | Dirk's super short hill sprint | 0.18 km | 5.2% |
| 7/54 | Christophers Ln | 0.54 km | 4.6% |
| 9/59 | Deer Creek Sprint (Egan Official) | 0.5 km | 4.7% |
| 12/60 | Valley View from Border | 0.31 km | 8.1% |
Toughest Moments — Worst 5 Segments
| Rank | Segment | Distance | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55/58 | Duval Way outbound | 0.33 km | 4.4% |
| 47/59 | La Cresta | 1.32 km | 6.4% |
| 41/52 | Stirrup/Saddle to Moon | 0.59 km | 8.2% |
| 30/39 | Cervantes Wall | 0.87 km | 9.5% |
| 53/71 | Foothills Park Vista Point (Egan Official) | 0.96 km | 7.6% |
What the Data Suggests
💪
Strengths to Protect
Explosive anaerobic power on short steep climbs. Opening-segment aggression (top 37% on S1–S2). Wall-gradient efforts where torque beats sustained output. Don't over-train aerobic base at the expense of peak power — that edge is real.
🎯
Development Area
Aerobic threshold and repeatability — the gap between S1 (top 37%) and S7+ (top 49%) is 12 percentile points. Even closing that to 6 points would be transformative on long-format rides. Target: 2×20 threshold work and back-to-back climbing days to build the aerobic floor.
📊
The Real Enemy
Fatigue, not segment type. Power drops 31% from short to long segments (391W → 271W). The issue is power-at-fatigue (FTP relative to peak power) — on a fresh day the ceiling is genuinely high.
Pack Battle — Rivals Within 15 Seconds
Same-gender riders finishing within 15 s of Alex across multiple rides (≥2 encounters).
🏴
Nemesis
James Robinson
1–5 in 6 encounters · 17% wins
⚔️
Rival
Gary Auten
1–1 in 2 encounters · 50% wins
🎯
Prey
road runner
2–0 in 2 encounters · 100% wins
| Rider | Encounters | Alex record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏴 James Robinson | 6 | 1–5 | 17% |
| 🏴 Andrew Y | 4 | 1–3 | 25% |
| 🏴 Jerome S | 3 | 1–2 | 33% |
| 🏴 Allen I | 3 | 0–3 | 0% |
| 🎯 road runner | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| 🎯 Clay Wilderman | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| 🎯 John Donahoe | 2 | 2–0 | 100% |
| ⚔️ Gary Auten | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Whitman Kwok | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Patrick Burke | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Kenny Ke | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Sebastian Brannstrom | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Renato Berlinghieri | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| ⚔️ Christophe Testi 🇫🇷 🇺🇸 | 2 | 1–1 | 50% |
| 🏴 Rhodes walton | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |
| 🏴 Jim Holmes | 2 | 0–2 | 0% |